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💡 Keep It Simple, Stupid

💡 Keep It Simple, Stupid

Getting better at DFS...

September 22, 2023

In this week's P.O. Box:

Single-lineup Pete
Stream roundup: A winning week
On tap: Block Party, Off & On The Clock, DFS After Dark, Week 3 Cram
On my radar: A garage gym update

I’ve simplified a lot of things in my life over the past year.

Most of it was born out of necessity—I needed to get more efficient with my time after becoming a Dad last December so I could continue doing all of the things I enjoy doing.

The latest thing I’ve massively simplified compared to pre-Dad Pete is how I play NFL DFS.

Up until this season, I used to spend ungodly amounts of time prepping, researching, consuming content, building lineups, and tinkering with said lineups for a Sunday Main slate.

Don’t get me wrong—some of that process was incredibly fun, but most of it was 1) unnecessary and 2) making me a worse player.

For the 2023 season, I decided I would make one single lineup each week as opposed to a handful.

Part of this was simply to save time, but I also hoped it would help me focus and make better lineups instead of getting pulled in a million directions while trying to jam in every single play I like on a slate.

It’s only Week 3, but the early returns have been solid.

I shipped the Week 2 Deposit Kingdom tournament (a weekly single-entry contest that is shared in the Discord) and had multiple Top 10 finishes across a few different tournaments with the same lineup.

If you want to get more in the weeds on the lineup, I broke it all down in this week’s Pourtfolio Review:

It’s way too early to make any sweeping conclusions—and I could just as easily find myself on the wrong side of variance for a string of weeks because that’s just GPP bro life—but at the very least I’ve shaved off multiple hours of unnecessary tinkering on Saturday evenings and Sunday mornings.

Instead, I’m sticking to my favorite core plays, tailing smart people like JMToWin and the Establish The Million crew, and seeing how my hand-built lineups grade out in The Solver sims from a projected R.O.I. standpoint.

Streamlining this process and reducing tinkering time also makes Sunday mornings way less hectic when I’m trying to ship the Fantasy Life newsletter and prep for the GPP Cram shows.

Now let’s see if we can keep things rolling in Week 3…

💎 Hidden Gems for Week 3: 2 RBs & 2 WRs. There’s a couple really interesting leverage spots this week in Battle Royale contests.

☕️ A DFS Bink & Top 10 GPP Finishes. We review a profitable Week 2 on this week's Pete's Pourtfolio Review. We break down the lineup, how I used sims to test it against the field, and a tough late swap decision that cost me $1,000. We also check in on our Best Ball bags after Marvin Mims arrived, and shout out a few other big wins from around the Kingdom on Underdog Fantasy.

🧠 Awesemo Weighs in on Sims & The Future of DFS . Awesemo aka Alex Baker returns to the show (despite not having recently won a millymaker) to give his thoughts on the new sim era of DFS, how the Stokastic product compares to his personal sims, if he'd like to fight guys like Petteytheft and Nerdy Tenor, what DFS contests he likes playing these days, and how he got into building ping pong models.

🏆️ Fantasy Life roundup. This week we wrote about the 2 New Fantasy Stars who emerged in LA, 4 Sneaky RBs to Stash (for the “not in my league” crowd), and broke down the surprise Cam Akers trade.

🚢 #ShipCast: Tilting Giants w/ Lord Reebs & A $1,500 CMC Sweat. Last night we analyzed the All-22 film, discussed fallout from the Cam Akers trade, praised our short king Wan'Dale Robinson, talked ball and CMC with Lord Reebs in the 2nd quarter, caught up on Week 3 waivers with Stephanie Miller, built a few halftime pick 'Em entries on Underdog, shared whether we are worried about our Breece Hall bags, and ended the game with a big sweat on a $1500 pick 'em.

💪 Swolecast: Draftkings Week 3 picks. Pat Kerrane joins the premier first-look DFS show only to not let him get a word in.

📈 Stat Chasing: The QB Set To Erupt + Week 3 Waiver Adds & Trends. Drico & Sackreligious break down all of the important usage trends from Week 2 and help you make the best decisions on the waiver wire for Week 3. Topics discussed: the surprising efficiency of Jordan Love and CJ Stroud, Josh Jacobs' reliability, the murky Ravens RB situation, which TEs you can trust, and the volatility of the Jaguars and Commanders WRs.

📊 Ship Chasing High Stakes Team Review & Week 3 Waiver Roundup. If you’re curious how our managed teams are doing, Steph has you covered.